Game Result Predictions
Saturday, March 17
Saturday, March 17
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - Taco Bell Arena (Boise, ID) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ohio State (25-9) | 84 | 72 | +5.0 | 33% | ✔ | 70 | +7.5 | 7% | ✔ | |
| Gonzaga (32-5) | 90 | 77 | -5.0 | 67% | 77 | -7.5 | 93% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NCAA - Second Round - Intrust Bank Arena (Wichita, KS) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Houston (27-8) | 63 | 67 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 60 | +12.0 | 2% | ✔ | |
| Michigan (32-8) | 64 | 66 | +1.0 | 46% | 72 | -12.0 | 98% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| NIT - Second Round - South Bend, IN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Penn State (26-13) | 73 | 69 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 70 | -3.5 | 79% | ✔ | |
| Notre Dame (20-15) | 63 | 70 | -1.0 | 54% | 67 | +3.5 | 21% | |||
Saturday, March 17 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 33%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 33%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.